{"id":4379,"date":"2024-10-17T09:23:56","date_gmt":"2024-10-17T09:23:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/resfoundation.org\/rs\/?p=4379"},"modified":"2024-10-17T09:28:07","modified_gmt":"2024-10-17T09:28:07","slug":"kad-je-toplo-oko-srca-cena-je-u-oku-posmatraca","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/resfoundation.org\/rs\/kad-je-toplo-oko-srca-cena-je-u-oku-posmatraca\/","title":{"rendered":"Kad je toplo oko srca, cena je u oku posmatra\u010da"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u201eKucnuo sam ga ponovo slijede\u0107eg jutra i kazaljka je sko\u010dila jo\u0161 vi\u0161e, dok je ki\u0161a plju\u0161tala ja\u010de nego ikad. U srijedu sam oti\u0161ao i ponovo ga lupnuo a kazaljka je pokazala najprije \u201elijepo\u201c, zatim \u201evrlo suho\u201c i kona\u010dno \u201etoplo i suho\u201c, dok nije udarila u grani\u010dnik koji joj nije dao dalje. Radila je sve \u0161to je mogla, ali instrument je bio gra\u0111en tako da nije mogao prognozirati jo\u0161 toplije vrijeme a da se ne raspadne. Kazaljka je o\u010digledno \u017eeljela i\u0107i dalje, prognozirati su\u0161u, nesta\u0161icu vode, sun\u010danice, samume, pje\u0161\u010dane oluje i takve stvari ali grani\u010dnik joj je to onemogu\u0107avao. Morala se pomiriti sa tim da pokazuje samo obi\u010dno \u201evrlo suho\u201c vrijeme. Ki\u0161a je u me\u0111uvremenu bez prestanka lila potocima, a donji dio grada bio je pod vodom jer se rijeka bila izlila iz korita[1]<\/sup><\/a>\u201c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ne znam za\u0161to se setim ove epizode iz kultnog romana Jerome K. Jerome kada pro\u010ditam jedno relativno suvoparno (aha suvoparno, mo\u017eda zato) saop\u0161tenje  o tro\u0161kovima energije za grejanje stambenog prostora koje Agencija za energetiku Republike Srbije izdaje svake godine u oktobru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U tom saop\u0161tenju Agencija na osnovu nekih pretpostavki o potro\u0161nji, efikasnosti i na osnovu cena energenata (ili tako\u0111e pretpostavki?) poredi po tro\u0161kovima razli\u010dite varijante grejanja stambenog prostora veli\u010dine 60 kvadrata. Agencija ne poredi ba\u0161 sve varijante jer o tro\u0161kovima daljinskog grejanja ne mo\u017eemo saznati ni\u0161ta kao ni o tro\u0161kovima grejanja putem toplotnih pumpi ili klima-ure\u0111aja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saop\u0161tenje je, kako i prili\u010di, \u0161turo i uglavnom egzaktno, tek tu i tamo probije emocija pa se pojavi poneki prilog (samo) ili opisi koristi (ali \u0161to je komforno\u2026).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ovaj barometar 2020 u oktobru javlja gra\u0111anima Srbije lepo gasno vreme pa ih te\u0161i da iako to grejanje nije najjeftinije ono ima dodatnu prednost u pogledu komfora koje pru\u017ea[2]<\/sup><\/a>. Za to vreme u Me\u0111unarodnoj agenciji za energetiku kukaju da su cene na tr\u017ei\u0161tima na istorijski niskim nivoima zbog pandemije[3]<\/sup><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Godine 2023. skazaljka ide napred i u oktobru javlja gra\u0111anima da \u0107e doma\u0107instva koja se greju kori\u0161\u0107enjem prirodnog gasa imati najni\u017ee tro\u0161kove[4]<\/sup><\/a>. Barometar Me\u0111unarodne agencije za energetiku, u istom mesecu iste godine, utvr\u0111uje da gasna 2021\/2022 godina po\u010dinje sa rekordno visokim cenama na tr\u017ei\u0161tima u Evropi i Aziji i ni\u017eim nivoima zaliha u skladi\u0161tima, a barometri uglednih ameri\u010dkih medija ka\u017eu da se nadaju da stratosferske cene gasa u Evropi izazvane globalnim energetskim slomom ne\u0107e uticati u istoj meri na cene u SAD[5]<\/sup><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na\u0161 dobronamerni barometar nastavlja da pokazuje \u201edoma\u0107instva koja se greju kori\u0161\u0107enjem prirodnog gasa imati najni\u017ee tro\u0161kove\u201e vreme i u oktobru 2022[6]<\/sup><\/a>. Ptice zloslutnice iz Me\u0111unarodne Agencije za energetiku pla\u010du u istom mesecu da se te godine zimska sezona otvara sa rekordno visokim cenama i nestabilno\u0161\u0107u cena izazvanim i nekim problemima vezanim za ruske isporuke gasa[7]<\/sup><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U oktobru 2023. smo svedoci ne\u0161to lo\u0161ijeg vremena pa barometar ka\u017ee \u201cGrejanje kori\u0161\u0107enjem prirodnog  gasa \u0107e i  ove grejne sezone biti  povoljno u  odnosu na  druge vidove grejanja  jer \u0107e  iznositi  59,5 hiljada dinara, \u0161to je za samo 3,5 hiljada dinara skuplje od najpovoljnijeg grejanja kori\u0161\u0107enjem drveta\u201c[8]<\/sup><\/a>. Oni dosadnjakovi\u0107i su gledanjem na svoj barometar uo\u010dili da su se tr\u017ei\u0161ne napetosti u prva tri kvartala 2023. godine smanjile, ali da je snabdevanje ograni\u010deno a cene izuzetno nestabilne[9]<\/a>. Barometri u Evropi u me\u0111uvremenu crtaju gluposti.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Slika 1 Kretanje cena prirodnog gasa i elektri\u010dne energije u EU. Izvor: EUROSTAT[10]<\/sup><\/strong><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Godine 2024. nastavljamo da svedo\u010dimo \u201esamo malo skupljem od najpovoljnijeg\u201c vremenu[11]<\/sup><\/a>. Znate ve\u0107 da vam i ne ka\u017eem: Me\u0111unarodna agencija za energetiku kuka na slabe izglede, osetljivost i geopoliti\u010dke tenzije koje uti\u010du na nepredvidivost cena, a \u017eali se i na rast cena gasa na svim tr\u017ei\u0161tima u drugom kvartalu 2024. godine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na kraju krajeva, njihovo me\u0111unarodno  vreme je njihov problem. Na\u0161e javne politike su nama donele lepo gasno vreme, i jeftino gasno grejanje korisnicima koji sami lo\u017ee. Pretpostavljamo da nema razloga da ne bude jeftino ni korisnicima daljinskog grejanja za koje isti taj gas lo\u017ee drugi ljudi, pa ugrejanu vodu pumpaju i guraju kroz hiljade kilometara cevi do njihovih radijatora. Ne znamo ta\u010dno, jer Agencija ne prikazuje njihove tro\u0161kove u uporednoj analizi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Volimo i mi lepo vreme i radujemo se da se na\u0161i sugra\u0111ani jeftino greju!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pitamo se ponekad za\u0161to ih onda parama poreskih obveznika pripremamo da sami plate te jeftine ra\u010dune<\/a> i za\u0161to im dajemo novac koji oni rado koriste[12]<\/sup><\/a> (o tome \u0107emo vam pisati uskoro) da kupe sebi nove kotlove. Pitate li se i vi?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ipak: budi Republika Srbija, ne budi Me\u0111unarodna agencija za energetiku. Ni Eurostat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mnogo mra\u010de, bre.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

[1]<\/a> „Tri \u010dovjeka u \u010damcu a o psu da se i ne govori“, Jerome K. Jerome,  Znanje 1986, Drugo izdanje, Prevod: Nikola Kr\u0161i\u0107<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[2]<\/a> http:\/\/aers.rs\/Index.asp?l=1&a=541&id=262&tvid=1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[3]<\/a> https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/gas-2020<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[4]<\/a> http:\/\/aers.rs\/Index.asp?l=1&a=541&id=285&tvid=1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[5]<\/a> https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/gas-market-report-q4-2021\/main-findings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[6]<\/a> http:\/\/aers.rs\/Index.asp?l=1&a=541&id=317&tvid=1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[7]<\/a> https:\/\/iea.blob.core.windows.net\/assets\/5c108dc3-f19f-46c7-a157-f46f4172b75e\/GasMarketReportQ42022.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[8]<\/a> http:\/\/aers.rs\/Index.asp?l=1&a=541&id=340&tvid=1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[9]<\/a> https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/medium-term-gas-report-2023<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[10]<\/a> https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/eurostat\/documents\/4187653\/16179947\/vis1-Electricity-and-gas-261023.png\/722092b0-9465-b280-47cf-85307ae86c3a?t=1698302182681<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[11]<\/a> https:\/\/www.aers.rs\/Index.asp?l=1&a=541&id=360&tvid=1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[12]<\/a> Videti korisnike mere 4 ovde (i na mnogim drugim mestima) https:\/\/www.kovin.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/Odluka-o-utvrdjivanju-ispunjenosti-uslova-i-utvrdjivanju-liste-krajnjih-korisnika.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201eKucnuo sam ga ponovo slijede\u0107eg jutra i kazaljka je sko\u010dila jo\u0161 vi\u0161e, dok je ki\u0161a plju\u0161tala ja\u010de nego ikad. U srijedu sam oti\u0161ao i ponovo ga lupnuo a kazaljka je pokazala najprije \u201elijepo\u201c, zatim \u201evrlo suho\u201c i kona\u010dno \u201etoplo i suho\u201c, dok nije udarila u grani\u010dnik koji joj nije dao dalje. Radila je sve \u0161to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4380,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[20,27],"class_list":["post-4379","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog-postovi","tag-energetskaefikasnost","tag-energetskapolitika"],"yoast_head":"\nKad je toplo oko srca, cena je u oku posmatra\u010da - RES fondacija<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/resfoundation.org\/rs\/kad-je-toplo-oko-srca-cena-je-u-oku-posmatraca\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sr_RS\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kad je toplo oko srca, cena je u oku posmatra\u010da - RES fondacija\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201eKucnuo sam ga ponovo slijede\u0107eg jutra i kazaljka je sko\u010dila jo\u0161 vi\u0161e, dok je ki\u0161a plju\u0161tala ja\u010de nego ikad. U srijedu sam oti\u0161ao i ponovo ga lupnuo a kazaljka je pokazala najprije \u201elijepo\u201c, zatim \u201evrlo suho\u201c i kona\u010dno \u201etoplo i suho\u201c, dok nije udarila u grani\u010dnik koji joj nije dao dalje. 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